The service will produce the most accurate olive yield forecasts at seasonal and much longer (decadal) timescales. It will also integrate models capable of predicting pest dynamics and fruit infestation by the olive fly (Bactrocera oleae), so to provide sensible information to support pest management and reduce agricultural costs.
The service will formulate the best seasonal probabilistic predictions of extreme and biological climate indices at Mediterranean and site specific spatial scales, to allow for efficient pest and operational management strategies. At the same time, it will provide long-term (up to 30 years) predictions of future climatic and bioclimatic indices, to be exploited for effective decision-making when planning for the plantation and sustainability of new vineyards.
The service will combine different approaches to provide both seasonal forecasts and long-term predictions and projections for durum wheat yield, and risks of pests and diseases. Thus, it will support farmer decisions in the definition of better agro-management plans, strategic long-term planning and climate change adaptation.